Azerbaijan National Academy of Science

In an article for Aftonbladet, UN Secretary-General António Guterres talked about two possible scenarios in the world in connection with the pandemic of the coronavirus infection COVID-19.

According to him, there is an optimistic and pessimistic forecast.

According to the first scenario, all countries, including developing ones, will successfully cope with the current situation, and within nine months a coronavirus vaccine will be developed, which will be available to everyone.

“If this happens, and the economy will gradually recover, we will begin to move in the right direction, so that after two or three years to some extent, return to normal,” said Guterres.

If the worst-case scenario is realized, the spread of coronavirus infection will continue, which will negatively affect the situation in developing countries, he said.

At the same time, only the most developed countries can get the vaccine from COVID-19 against the background of fierce competition.

“If this scenario comes true, we will see how segregation, populism and xenophobia grow. Each country will act independently or in the so-called coalitions that want to cooperate only on certain specific tasks, ”the UN Secretary General warned.

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